Family
First

Reclaiming the GOP’s Forgotten Constituency
AMERICANPRINCIPLES PROJECT

About the Authors

Terry Schilling

Terry Schilling

Terry Schilling is the Executive Director of American Principles Project and has extensive campaign management experience.

Frank Cannon

Frank Cannon

Frank Cannon is the President of the American Principles Project and a political consultant to Susan B. Anthony List.

Paul Dupont

Paul Dupont

Paul Dupont is the communications director for American Principles Project.

Contents

  1. 4IntroductionA Tale of Two ElectionsWhat should Republicans conclude about how to build a winning national political coalition from their 2016 victory and 2018 defeat?
  2. 7Part OneSurveying America in 2018In a post-midterm survey of thousands of Americans, one important finding stood out: married and family-oriented voters are crucial to Republican success.
  3. 11Part TwoBuilding on the Trump CoalitionThe combination of Trump’s 2016 victory and Democrats’ leftward drift on cultural issues presents the GOP with an enormous opportunity to win on family issues in 2020.
  4. 16Part ThreeA “Family First” Agenda for 2020To win over family-oriented voters in 2020, Republicans will need to embrace these issues.
A hand drops a ballot into a ballot box in front of an American flag
Introduction

A Tale of Two Elections

Two elections, two very different results: In 2016, Donald Trump won the White House by forging a new coalition that included more blue-collar Americans in Rust Belt states. Trump’s populist-themed campaign was a bold one, and it seemed to lay the foundation for further electoral success. However, in the subsequent 2018 midterms, the Republican Party lost massive ground, despite a surging economy and after passing one of the largest tax cuts in modern memory. Even more shocking was where the GOP lost — primarily in wealthy suburbs, whose voters likely benefited the most from the party’s economic agenda.

So what should conservatives conclude about how to build a winning national political coalition from these last two elections?

The temptation among some Republican elites will be to blame President Trump — to cling to the vastly improbable assumption that a Mitt Romney or Jeb Bush at the helm would have, through their focus on traditional Republican economic policies and winsomeness of personality, pushed the GOP to victory in 2018. The great temptation, in other words, will be to refuse to learn from experience and to instead fall back on tired, disproven conceptual templates — because it is easier than facing some unpleasant truths, engaging in hard new thinking about what a winning conservative coalition must look like, and recognizing that Trump’s 2016 victory pointed the way.

Indeed, early indications suggest a number of Republicans are already falling victim to this temptation. A quick survey of post-midterm reactions provides plenty of examples. Consider GOP strategist Sarah Chamberlain’s remarks on Hill.TV only days after the election that “the way to win back suburban voters is by focusing on key issues like the economy.”1 Or consider Republican adviser David Winston’s Roll Call op-ed in December proclaiming that “the Republican economic message was a winning one, but because the suburbs didn’t hear it clearly, the GOP lost its advantage.”2 Seemingly echoing these concerns in May, Congressman Tom Cole (R-Okla.) lamented to The New York Times that “the traditional issues are being eclipsed — because if ‘peace and prosperity’ worked, there would still be a Republican majority in the House.”3

After the 2018 midterms
“the way to win back suburban voters is by focusing on key issues like the economy.”
Sarah Chamberlain, GOP strategist
“the Republican economic message was a winning one, but because the suburbs didn’t hear it clearly, the GOP lost its advantage.”
David Winston, Republican adviser
“the traditional issues are being eclipsed — because if ‘peace and prosperity’ worked, there would still be a Republican majority in the House.”
Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.)

However, as we argued in our 2013 report, Building a Winning GOP Coalition, this standard Republican strategy relying on an economic message of tax cuts and “job creation” is a recipe for political failure. Developments since then have only strengthened our case. For example, recent polling from the Heritage Foundation shows that, even amid our current booming economy, more than 45 percent of voters in battleground states — and a majority of voters in nine swing districts which voted for Trump in 2016 — believe the Republican economic agenda of tax cuts and de-regulation has actually hurt the middle class.4 And, as mentioned above, those who have benefited the most from the GOP’s economic policies are increasingly leaving the party. In fact, as of the current Congress, 43 of the 50 wealthiest House districts are now represented by Democrats.5

43 of 50

of the wealthiest U.S. House districts are represented by Democrats.

DemocratsRepublicans

So where does the Republican Party go from here? What lessons should President Trump and the GOP take from the last election in charting a path forward for the next one? In order to answer these questions, some additional evidence will be useful.

In November 2018, the American Principles Project commissioned a nationally representative poll of 5,285 Americans aged 20-65. We asked them about their votes in the 2016 and 2018 elections and also about their faith in the value of the free market and their views on abortion and marriage. From their answers, we discovered one crucial detail about the electorate which has been almost entirely overlooked in recent political discussion: one of the strongest indicators of holding conservative views and supporting GOP candidates — across race, gender, and income level — was being married and/ or coming from an intact family. In other words, married and family-oriented voters are a crucial, and likely the most crucial, component of the GOP coalition.

For Republicans looking ahead to 2020, this point is of the utmost importance. If the GOP decides merely to pursue the suburban voters it lost, wooing them with a message of tax cuts and economic growth, it will fail. Rather, the Republican Party’s future is wholly dependent on a renewal of the American family, and it is on this goal that conservative leaders should be fully focused moving forward.

Rather, the Republican Party’s future is wholly dependent on a renewal of the American family, and it is on this goal that conservative leaders should be fully focused moving forward.
American Principles Project
Part One

Surveying America in 2018

Fielded immediately following the midterm elections, the 2018 American Political and Relational Behavior (APRB) Survey — conducted by the Austin Institute on behalf of the American Principles Project — collected data on a wide range of issues. In addition to asking respondents about their political affiliation and voting behavior, the survey also gathered information on their attitudes on a myriad of economic and social issues as well as numerous details on their marital and family history. What we found was at once intuitive and yet remarkable: being married and coming from an intact family is significantly related to one’s political activity and views.

Let’s begin with the former — among the 20-65 age group, President Trump and Republicans performed far better among married voters than those with almost any other marital status. Although our survey indicated Trump lost this age group overall to Hillary Clinton, his deficit among married voters was only 1.6 percentage points. By contrast, he lost divorced voters by 5 points, cohabiting voters by 28 points, and never married (and not cohabiting) voters by a whopping 35 points. For Republicans in 2018, the gaps were even worse. While they lost married voters in this age group by 5 points, they lost divorced, cohabiting, and never married voters by 19, 44, and 45 points, respectively.

Clearly, married voters are far more likely to vote for the GOP, and this effect is especially pronounced among minorities. In 2018, Black and Hispanic married voters were more than twice as likely as their divorced, cohabiting, and never married counterparts to vote Republican. The beneficial effect of marriage for Republi cans also extends to children, as nearly twice as many minority voters from intact families voted for GOP candidates as those from other situations (30 percent to 16 percent).

Among women voters, marriage obliterated the much lamented gender gap faced by President Trump and Republicans. Again in the 20-65 age group, Trump won nearly 42 percent of married women in 2016, less than 4 points behind Clinton. However, Trump failed to surpass 37 percent support among any other group, losing divorced women by 18 points, cohabiting women by 33 points, and never married (and not cohabiting) women by a colossal 49 points.

The Marriage Gap

GOP margin of defeat by marital status of voters (ages 20–65) in 2018
02018 national House vote · points behind60
Among married voters, Republicans lost by 5 points.
Among divorced, cohabiting and never married voters: 19, 44 and 45 points.
Among women: 5, 33, 53 and 54 points.
2018 APRB Survey: Key Facts
5,285
Americans surveyed
WhoA nationally representative sample of 5,285 Americans, ages 20-65.
WhenNovember 9-15, 2018
WhatOver 50 questions relating to each respondents’ past votes, political and ideological views, marital and family status, and other behavioral and attitudinal factors.

The American Political and Relational Behavior Survey was commissioned by APP immediately following the 2018 midterms to survey Americans on a wide variety of issues.

In 2018, Republicans once again performed even worse in every category.

But not only are married voters among all classes, races, and genders more likely to vote Republican — they are also more likely to vote period. Over 80 percent of married respondents in our survey said they voted in the 2016 election and 76 percent said they voted in 2018, the highest figures in both elections among all marital status groups. By comparison, in 2018, only 71 percent of divorced respondents and only 61 percent of cohabiting and never married respondents said they showed up at the ballot box. Moreover, over 81 percent of married respondents said they planned to vote in 2020, while only 77 percent of divorced, 68 percent of cohabiting, and 66 percent of never married respondents said the same.

Beyond voting behavior, however, there is also a distinct relationship to be found between marital status and attitudes on various issues. For example, in our survey we asked respondents to rank where they stood between conservative and progressive views on a number of economic issues, including the value of free markets, government regulations, taxation, and income differences. On every issue, married respondents were more likely than average to hold conservative views, while divorced, cohabiting, and never married respondents were more likely than average to hold progressive ones.

Married People Vote Most Reliably

Likelihood of voting by marital status (ages 20–65) from 2016, 2018 & 2020 (plan to vote)
MarriedDivorcedCohabitingNever married

Black and Hispanic Married Voters

Compared with their unmarried peers

Children of Married Minority Voters

Minority voters from intact families vs. other situations

On social issues, the story was the same. Naturally, married respondents were far more likely than their counterparts to oppose the idea that “marriage is an outdated institution” — 74 percent of them disagreed with this statement, while only 51 percent of never married and 46 percent of cohabiting respondents similarly did so. In addition, 33 percent of married respondents expressed clear opposition to abortion rights, a higher proportion than was found among divorced (29 percent), never married (24 percent), or cohabiting (15 percent) respondents. And on the question of whether adolescents should be given hormones or surgery to transition to the opposite gender if they identify as such, married respondents were once again the most conservative group. (Notably, cohabiting respondents were the only group more likely to agree than disagree that children should be allowed to transition.)

As with voting behavior, the effects of intact marriages on parents also appear to carry over to their children. On economic issues, respondents who grew up in intact families were more likely than average to hold conservative views on free markets, taxation, and income inequality, while those from broken homes (whose parents either divorced or never married) were more likely to hold progressive views. Respondents from intact families were also more likely to oppose abortion and to disagree that marriage is an outdated institution than their fellow respondents from broken families.

In summary, our survey data shows that the Republican Party is heavily reliant on voters who are married and/or come from intact fam-ilies for political success. Communities where marriages and families are flourishing are likely to be places where both economic and cultural conservatism thrive and where the GOP can expect to find a strong base of support. And vice versa — in communities where broken marriages and families abound, progressivism and Democrats are likely to find much greater loyalty.

Is Marriage an Outdated Institution?

By marital status (ages 20–65)

Is It OK for Adolescents to Transition Gender?

By marital status (ages 20–65)
Communities where marriages and families are flourishing are likely to be places where both economic and cultural conservatism thrive.
American Principles Project

However, despite the seemingly obvious nature of these observations, in recent years this reality hasn’t factored very heavily in GOP election strategy. In fact, for far too long many Republicans have been focused on the wrong political paradigm, chasing the unicorn of “socially liberal, fiscally conservative” suburban voters who research has shown are virtually non-existent.6 Indeed, our own survey shows that the proportion of respondents who reported being politically liberal and also supporting free markets was a measly 2 percent.

It’s clear that GOP leaders need to instead adopt a new strategy — one which puts an emphasis on the socially conservative and economically pro-family policies which are likely to appeal to the current Republican base as well as attract new family-oriented voters, particularly minority voters, who don’t normally vote Republican but otherwise agree on these issues. They also need to focus on promoting immediate policy changes which encourage more marriages and family formation to help grow their likely base of support, rather than settling for a libertarian agenda which at best maintains the status quo and at worst further erodes the American family and the social support it provides, sending more voters running towards big-government Democrats.

Fortunately, at least one GOP leader is already moving in the right direction, and his victory in 2016 has pointed the path forward for the party.

President Donald Trump speaking at a podium in front of an American flag
Part Two

Building on the Trump Coalition

One of the few prominent Republican leaders to date who appears to have grasped both the political realities of the present moment as well as the opportunities available to the GOP is the President of the United States. Donald Trump won the White House in 2016 not by sticking to the standard Republican playbook but rather by embracing an entirely new platform which appealed directly to many of the voters described above.

In particular, Trump did two things which helped him to build a winning coalition (coincidentally, the very two things which we recommended in our 2013 Building a Winning Coalition report).

1Trump refused to adopt a “truce strategy” on social issues, instead using social conservatism to his benefit.

Unlike Mitt Romney’s doomed 2012 campaign which took pains to deemphasize Romney’s position on social issues, Trump in 2016 recognized the potent appeal of social conservatism to a large portion of the electorate and acted accordingly. In the lead up to Election Day, for example, he made an unprecedented pledge to pro-lifers, vowing to defund Planned Parenthood, sign the 20-week Pain Capable Unborn Child Protection Act, and nominate pro-life justices to the Supreme Court.7 In the final presidential debate in October 2016, he memorably challenged Hillary Clinton and Democrats over their radical position on abortion, pointing out that the Democrats’ platform would allow abortionists to “rip the baby out of the womb of the mother” as late as the ninth month of pregnancy. And throughout his campaign, he also made religious liberty a consistent theme, promising to repeal the Johnson Amendment and notably pledging to sign the First Amendment Defense Act should it make it to his desk.8

All these issues allowed Trump to strongly contrast himself with Clinton and proved to be a powerful motivating factor for voters in the election.

2Trump developed an economic platform which discarded traditional GOP messaging and instead focused on American workers.

The failure of the standard GOP economic message has by this point been well-documented. In 2012, Mitt Romney ran a campaign almost obsessively centered on the themes of “job creation” and economic growth, only to see voters choose Democrats as the party more likely to deliver a better economy by a nine-point margin (47 percent to 38 percent).9 Rather than replay this failed strategy, Trump championed a whole different set of economic issues, ones which appealed to working Americans directly.

Trump promised he would work to bring back manufacturing jobs to the United States — jobs that at one time formed the backbone of the American middle class and the loss of which has decimated so many communities in middle America. He vowed to renegotiate trade deals in a way which would put the interests of American workers first instead of dogmatically committing to the abstract principle of free trade. And he emphasized a toughened immigration policy that would again place Americans’ interests above all else.

This blend of cultural conservatism and economic populism proved a potent formula, and it led to the Republican Party’s largest electoral college victory in more than two decades. Moreover, since being elected President Trump has largely strengthened his position in these two areas, showing his campaign promises were more than mere rhetoric. Although there were some missed opportunities to achieve policy successes, especially in his first two years with a Republican Congress, Trump has taken a number of significant steps to enact his economic platform, actively renegotiating trade agreements and toughening border security. His administration has also delivered a number of social conservative victories: ending taxpayer funding for abortion overseas, defunding Planned Parenthood through Title X, establishing explicit conscience protections for healthcare workers, and repealing the Obama transgender education edict. But most consequentially, with the help of Mitch McConnell and Senate Republicans, Trump has tipped the balance of the judiciary, appointing two conservative justices to the Supreme Court and restocking the federal bench with constitutionalist judges at every level. All of these firstterm achievements should position him well as the 2020 campaign begins.

2012
Mitt Romney
The standard playbook
2016
Donald Trump
A new coalition
Social issues
Took pains to de-emphasize his positions on social issues.
Embraced social conservatism: pledged to defund Planned Parenthood, sign the 20-week Pain Capable Unborn Child Protection Act and nominate pro-life justices.
Economic message
Centered on “job creation” and economic growth.
Spoke to working Americans: bring back manufacturing, renegotiate trade deals, toughen immigration.
Result
Voters picked Democrats as better on the economy, 47% to 38%.
The largest Republican electoral college victory in more than two decades.

Meanwhile, the Democratic Party since 2016 has opened the door even further for Republicans by lurching to the extreme left — especially on cultural issues.

Sensing a potential danger to Roe v. Wade, Democrats in states including New York, Vermont, and Illinois have moved to officially legalize abortion up until the moment of birth, while Democrats in Maine enacted a law allowing taxpayer funding of abortion through Medicaid.10 In a rare moment of candidness about the true nature of these laws, Virginia’s Democratic Governor Ralph Northam explained to an interviewer that under such laws, if a woman in labor wished to have an abortion, “[t]he infant would be delivered. The infant would be kept comfortable. The infant would be resuscitated if that’s what the mother and the family desired, and then a discussion would ensue between the physicians and the mother.”11 Although the firestorm surrounding these comments led Northam to later deny the obvious implication that he was endorsing infanticide, legislation protecting babies born alive after abortions have been blocked by Congressional Democrats and vetoed by two Democratic governors.

The national Democratic Party has also made advancing the ever more radical LGBT agenda a high priority. In May, House Democrats passed the Equality Act, a bill which would open up public bathrooms, locker rooms, and showers to members of the opposite sex; mandate that public schools allow biological males to compete on women’s athletic teams; force physicians to perform sex-reassignment surgeries against their consciences; effectively shut down faith-based adoption agencies, women’s shelters, and other charities which refuse to compromise their traditional beliefs on sexuality; and overrule all religious freedom claims when LGBT issues are involved.12 This mirrors many efforts Democrats have already undertaken at the state and local levels.

Incredibly, Democrats have continued to pursue these efforts despite the evidence that most Americans, including many within their own party, strongly disagree with them — and that these very efforts may be alienating voters from their side.

In January and February, for example, the Knights of Columbus and Marist College took two consecutive polls measuring Americans’ views on abortion, with the latter being conducted after the explosion of controversy surrounding the passage of New York’s radically permissive abortion law.13 In January, respondents answered that they considered themselves “pro-choice” rather than “pro-life” by a 55-38 percent margin. By the next month, however, the “pro-life gap” had closed, with Americans now evenly divided between the labels, 47-47. This dramatic change was largely driven by a significant increase in Democrats choosing the pro-life label, from 20 percent to 34 percent, as well as a major increase in pro-life affiliation of younger respondents under age 45, from 28 percent to 47 percent.

The Pro-Life Gap Closes

Americans who call themselves pro-choice vs. pro-life · Knights of Columbus / Marist
Pro-choice
Pro-life
January 2019February 2019
Demonstrators holding Support the Equality Act signs
A drag performer reading a book to children
Students holding pro-life signs

Democratic Extremism Creates Pro-Lifers

Shift in pro-life affiliation from January 2019 to February 2019
All votersDemocratsYoung voters

And beyond mere labels, Americans’ views on when abortion should be legal also moved even further away from the official Democrat position. Already in January, a combined 75 percent of respondents had stated that abortion should be legally restricted to the first three months or even further, a far cry from the official Democratic Party view. By February, that number had ticked up to 80 percent. Moreover, 64 percent of Democrat respondents in the latter poll said they supported such abortion restrictions, as did 83 percent of independents. And a remarkable 48 percent of Democrats said they agreed with bans on abortion except for cases rape, incest, or to save the life of the mother, or that they did not think abortions should ever be permitted.

Unpopularity with the Democratic Party’s positions extends to LGBT issues as well. A May Rasmussen poll, for example, showed that half of Americans oppose “allowing transgender students to use the bathrooms of the opposite biological sex” versus only 31 percent support.14 On the question of school athletics, the gap was even more pronounced: 54 percent opposed “allowing transgender students to participate on the sports of the gender they identify with” while only 28 percent supported it. Gallup’s slightly more LGBT-friendly phrasing of the bathroom question in its own May survey still produced a majority in favor of restricting restroom access to “birth gender” over “gender identity” by a 51-44 percent margin, numbers which have held steady over the last four years despite the left’s seemingly endless propagandizing on the issue.15

Restrooms: Birth Gender or Gender Identity?

Gallup, May 2019
51%Restrict to birth gender
44%Gender identity

Transgender Issues: Bathroom Usage

Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender students to use bathrooms of the opposite biological sex?

Transgender Issues: Athletic Participation

Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender students to participate on sports teams of the gender they identify with, letting biological males, for example, play girls’ sports?

Indeed, given the fawning attention LGBT issues typically receive in the media and entertainment industries, it was even more shocking to see the pro-LGBT organization GLAAD admit that its 2019 polling found a decrease in LGBT acceptance among 18-34 year olds for the second straight year, falling from 63 percent in 2017 to 53 percent in 2018 and 45 percent this year.16 But while GLAAD was quick to indict the “discriminatory policies and targeted rhetoric” of the Trump administration for the change, it is just as easy to imagine that the publicity brought by the Democrats’ own efforts to advance far-left policies such as the Equality Act might also be to blame.

LGBT Acceptance Among 18–34 Year Olds

GLAAD Accelerating Acceptance polling

In short, this confluence of the new direction opened by Donald Trump’s pioneering 2016 campaign and the increasingly leftward plunge of the Democratic Party has created an enormous opportunity for Republicans in 2020. There are large numbers of family-oriented Americans open to a socially conservative, economically pro-worker message, as Trump’s victory illustrated, and in the time since then, Democrats have only made it easier to draw the contrast. By taking Trump’s successful 2016 formula and reemphasizing its strongest points, Republicans stand an excellent chance of replicating that election’s result.

But even more importantly, a platform combining social conservatism and pro-family economics promises to offer Republicans a far greater benefit than a mere short-term electoral victory. That’s because these policies, if successfully enacted, aim toward reversing the breakdown of the American family over the long term — by overturning the progressive social agenda which has had a corrosive effect on traditional mores and institutions which encourage family formation and by eliminating economic obstacles which have made marriage and childrearing a financial near-impossibility for many Americans. Such a result would have the effect of solidifying and even vastly growing the Republican voter base, improving the GOP’s election prospects for decades to come.

Part Three

A “Family First” Agenda for 2020

So what would such a “Family First” platform look like concretely?

On cultural issues, Republicans need to recognize and articulate the serious threat which progressive social policy presents to the family and also be able to offer a positive vision of how social conservatism is at its root directed toward strengthening American families and communities. And on economic issues, Republicans need to completely change their traditional reference point. Rather than prioritizing the interests of “job creators” (i.e. businesses) and emphasizing abstract measures of economic production like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Republican candidates must instead outline a vision that prioritizes the needs of working families and focuses on alleviating the greatest financial obstacles to family formation.

The good news is that the GOP already embraces, at least to some degree, many ideas which can be packaged into a compelling platform for family renewal. We have collected what we believe to be the most important of these ideas below.

It is also crucial to note that each of the following issues is included not only for their practical importance to a program of family revitalization but also for their political value. As mentioned above, the increasingly leftist extremism of Democrats has created an opportunity for GOP candidates to draw a favorable contrast in many areas. This is especially true for the issues below, each of which has strong support among voters and can be used by Republicans to bait their Democratic opponents into taking highly unpopular positions — or to further highlight radical proposals which Democrats have already endorsed.

Although there are undoubtedly other issues which could be added, here are the key components for a 2020 “Family First” agenda:

Parental rights

The ongoing fight over parental rights embodies the core difference between progressive and conservative ideology: whether the family is prior to government, or subject to it. Parents have a natural right and corresponding responsibility to direct the care and upbringing of their children. However, the threats to this fundamental right are myriad and growing most prominent in education and healthcare, as many progressive institutions and activists have decided they know better than parents how to raise their children. Indeed, the left is actively weaponizing the state and the courts in many areas to step between parents and their children in order to “properly educate” children in socially liberal orthodoxy. In order to combat these trends, Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Education

In addition to the parental rights issues we face in our current education system, families are also dealing with systematic attempts to put their children into a one-size-fits-all box. Through projects like Common Core, the federal government (under progressive influence) has tried to impose failed education theories on all schools, creating a mess of dumbed-down curriculum across the public school system. Moreover, Republicans have long been divided on the issue, likely explaining at least in part why Education Secretary Betsy DeVos has made relatively little progress in resolving this problem since her appointment in 2017. As a result, GOP candidates should consider adopting the following positions:

Abortion

The legalization and mass proliferation of abortion since Roe v. Wade, often promoted and/or funded by government entities, has devastated the American family. Indeed, the evidence for this was clear as far back as 1996, when the future Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen along with two colleagues authored a paper arguing that the decline of marriage rates and explosion in out-ofwedlock births since the 1970s can be tied primarily to the widespread legalization of abortion and contraception.17 Thus, addressing the issue of abortion ought to be a crucial component of any pro-family agenda. Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

An expectant couple watching an ultrasound

Pornography

Since 2016, fifteen states have passed resolutions declaring pornography a public health crisis. They have plenty of reason to, given that there is a large body of research linking pornography use to a host of negative effects including sex trafficking, sexual exploitation, increased sexual violence against women, addiction, harmful impacts on male sexual health and relationships, and an increase in early sexual activity among children. The ready availability of pornography through our increasingly tech-connected world presents families with a challenge that our own parents and grandparents never had to face. Given this new reality, it is of great interest to society that we recognize it as a public health crisis and address it as such. Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Commercial Surrogacy

The demand for women who will rent out their wombs to carry someone else’s baby is another way in which technological advances hurt women in the name of “liberty.” Commercial surrogacy is not an example of the free market at work for good, because it creates an underclass of victimized women through this dangerous practice and turns children into commodities that can be solicited, purchased, and permanently separated from their biological parents and birth mother. For the women serving as surrogates, there are serious health risks associated with this practice. And in many cases, commercial surrogacy robs children of the fundamental right to know their biological mother and father — ironically, in the name of creating families. Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Sound Money

The Federal Reserve’s aggressive micromanagement of the economy by dampening price signals and targeting financial asset prices has not benefited America’s working families. To address this issue, Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Pro-Family Tax Policy

On tax policy, politicians have long placed too high an emphasis on the needs of corporations rather than those of working families, likely at least in part because corporations can easily expatriate while families cannot. A recent example of this principle in action was the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, in which Congress made the cut to the corporate tax rate permanent while the cuts to individual rates were set to expire after ten years. This not only demonstrated misplaced priorities but also handed the Democrats an excellent talking point — which they used successfully in the 2018 midterms. The truth is that strong, intact families are just as critical to the economy as corporations, if not more so. Therefore, Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Paid Family Leave

While the Family and Medical Leave Act guarantees families the right to maternity or paternity leave from work, it does not make it an affordable option for families living paycheck to paycheck. Thus, families in difficult economic situations have been conditioned to believe that having children is a luxury they cannot afford. Paid family leave would offer parents valuable financial flexibility to spend time away from work with their newborn children, thus removing a disincentive to growing families and promoting stronger familial bonds. Republicans should consider adopting the following positions:

Conclusion

If many of the above prescriptions sound vaguely familiar, it’s because they should — many of them mirror and expand on positions President Trump already ran on in 2016. By building on and refining those positions to focus on the defense and revitalization of the American family, Trump and the Republican Party can create a formidable platform which will both strongly appeal to family-oriented voters in the 2020 election — especially those turned off by the comparative extremism of Democrats — and further expand the GOP’s base in elections to come.

Given present demographic and social realities, adopting and featuring a pro-family agenda for 2020 and beyond offers the best, and perhaps only, path for Republicans moving forward. The future of the GOP, and indeed of the country as a whole, is inextricably tied to the future of the family. If this great American experiment is to continue, we must once again put the family first.

If this great American experiment is to continue, we must once again put the family first.
American Principles Project

Endnotes

  1. Tess Bonn, “Republican CEO says GOP must win back support of female suburban voters,” The Hill, November 9, 2018, https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/415998-republican-ceo-says-gop-must-win-back-support-from-female-suburban-voters. ↩
  2. David Winston, “All Is Not Lost for Republicans in the Suburbs,” Roll Call, December 17, 2018, https://www.rollcall.com/news/opinion/trouble-in-the-suburbs-for-gop. ↩
  3. Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns, “Abortion Fight or Strong Economy? For G.O.P., Cultural Issues Undercut 2020 Message,” The New York Times, May 19, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/19/us/politics/republicans-abortion-economy-issues.html. ↩
  4. “National Congressional Battleground Survey of Likely Voters,” Heritage Action for America, March 21, 2019, https://s3.amazonaws.com/hafa/resources/Battleground-Crosstabs-March-2019.pdf. ↩
  5. Andrew DePietro, “After the Midterms, One Party Controls All the Wealthiest Congressional Districts,” GOBankingRates, November 8, 2018, https://www.gobankingrates.com/net-worth/politicians/which-party-represents-wealthiest-congressional-district-us/. Note: two Republicans listed here as winning their races, Mimi Walters and Young Kim, were defeated in the final vote tally after originally being declared victors at the time this analysis was published. ↩
  6. F.H. Buckley, “How Trump Won, in Two Dimensions,” The Wall Street Journal, August 9, 2017, https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-trump-won-in-two-dimensions-1502320256. ↩
  7. Donald J. Trump to pro-life leaders, September 2016, https://www.sba-list.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Trump-Letter-on-ProLife-Coalition.pdf. ↩
  8. Alexandra DeSanctis, “Senator Lee Introduces a Bill to Protect Religious Liberty,” National Review, September 28, 2016, https://www.nationalreview.com/2016/09/trump-supports-bill-protecting-religious-liberty-introduced-mike-lee/. ↩
  9. Francis Cannon, Maggie Gallagher, and Rich Danker, Building a Winning GOP Coalition: The Lessons of 2012 (Washington, D.C.: American Principles in Action, 2013), https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/BuildingAWinningGOPCoalition.pdf. ↩
  10. Susan Milligan, “A Guide to Abortion Laws by State,” U.S. News & World Report, June 27, 2019, https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/2019-06-27/a-guide-to-abortion-laws-by-state. ↩
  11. Shane Vander Hart, “Va. Gov. Northam Under Fire After Defending Bill Allowing Newborn Babies to Die,” The National Pulse, January 31, 2019, https://thenationalpulse.com/politics/virginia-governor-ralph-northam-under-fire-defending-bill-allowing-newborn-babies-die/. ↩
  12. “The Equality Act: Vote Recommendation,” American Principles Project, March 16, 2019, https://americanprinciplesproject.org/policy/equality-act-2019/. ↩
  13. “Americans’ Opinions on Abortion,” Knights of Columbus, February 2019, http://www.kofc.org/un/en/resources/communications/americans-opinions-on-abortion.pdf. ↩
  14. “Most Oppose Transgender Athletes on Opposite Sex Teams,” Rasmussen Reports, June 4, 2019, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/lifestyle/social_issues/most_oppose_transgender_athletes_on_opposite_sex_teams. ↩
  15. Justin McCarthy, “In U.S., 71% Support Transgender People Serving in Military,” Gallup, June 20, 2019, https://news.gallup.com/poll/258521/support-transgender-people-serving-military.aspx. ↩
  16. Accelerating Acceptance 2019 (N.p.: GLAAD, 2019), https://www.glaad.org/sites/default/files/Accelerating%20Acceptance%202019.pdf. ↩
  17. George A. Akerlof, Janet L. Yellen, and Michael L. Katz, “An Analysis of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing in the United States,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 111, No. 2 (May 1996): 277-317, https://doi.org/10.2307/2946680. ↩

About American Principles Project

When our Founders put this country together, they clearly articulated the essence of human dignity: that all are created equal, endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable rights, among them the rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

At APP, we believe these principles are central to what makes the American experiment so unique. We also believe that human dignity has often been overlooked in present-day policy debates. Therefore, we strongly affirm the following as fundamental to the flourishing of this country:

APP strives to put these values into action through our work in impacting key elections, promoting strategic legislation, and conducting groundbreaking research. We stand with all those Americans who believe, as we do, in re-establishing human dignity as the basis for American society.

To find out more information about APP, including how to further support our work, please visit our website at www.AmericanPrinciplesProject.org.

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